Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FTM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.845775 0.978709 1.122555 1.289380 1.477117 1.681434 1.920193
2024-12-22 0.648892 0.832476 1.048638 1.320147 1.650103 2.036026 2.519325
2024-12-29 0.538626 0.754695 1.027868 1.394258 1.867903 2.454181 3.228650
2025-01-05 0.432245 0.656648 0.959237 1.389418 1.976247 2.738666 3.792074
2025-01-12 0.350402 0.573600 0.892789 1.370882 2.054701 2.981236 4.311536
2025-01-19 0.290072 0.508970 0.839382 1.358183 2.132171 3.220260 4.835465
2025-01-26 0.251868 0.470579 0.817064 1.384212 2.261937 3.535600 5.480689
2025-02-02 0.218947 0.434486 0.792002 1.400481 2.374707 3.830069 6.110654
2025-02-09 0.190291 0.400395 0.764649 1.407999 2.471441 4.103575 6.722681
2025-02-16 0.170657 0.379019 0.755148 1.442082 2.610405 4.446927 7.456250
2025-02-23 0.150810 0.353666 0.734920 1.454590 2.713160 4.737938 8.123125
2025-03-02 0.126349 0.314609 0.684350 1.407599 2.710613 4.858988 8.527584
2025-03-09 0.115280 0.302138 0.683059 1.450732 2.868321 5.253285 9.396900
2025-03-16 0.104126 0.287539 0.675777 1.481893 3.007324 5.625257 10.251253
2025-03-23 0.098867 0.285559 0.693630 1.562547 3.240866 6.169262 11.416900
2025-03-30 0.086668 0.264570 0.668976 1.556750 3.314191 6.441773 12.140327
2025-04-06 0.075021 0.242503 0.638818 1.536129 3.356885 6.661568 12.782935
2025-04-13 0.065454 0.223798 0.613386 1.522054 3.409777 6.900442 13.467472
2025-04-20 0.059742 0.214523 0.608401 1.550734 3.547951 7.299655 14.450473
2025-04-27 0.054037 0.204036 0.599058 1.568662 3.665233 7.665717 15.389920
2025-05-04 0.048475 0.192730 0.586103 1.576946 3.762814 7.999210 16.284404
2025-05-11 0.044880 0.186828 0.586013 1.614513 3.923351 8.458830 17.427424
2025-05-18 0.040607 0.177704 0.576262 1.628297 4.034114 8.827958 18.418316